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China and Iran have a long history of cooperation, but the war has put their relationship to the test. Photo: Getty Images

CHINA'S HIDDEN HAND IN THE IRAN WAR

_As the Gulf conflict escalates, China's economic interests are at stake. With $130 billion in annual trade with Iran, China's role is more complex than meets the eye. Beijing's strategic calculations will shape the war's outcome._

By VOLT Bureau - BLACKWIRE  |  April 16, 2026, 03:00 CET  |  Iran War, China, Economic Interests, Military Cooperation, Diplomatic Efforts

The war in Iran has sparked a global crisis, with significant economic and diplomatic implications. China, the world's second-largest economy, is at the center of the conflict, with its economic interests and strategic calculations shaping the war's outcome. With $130 billion in annual trade with Iran, China's role is more complex than meets the eye, and its actions will have far-reaching consequences for global stability.

China's Economic Stakes

China is Iran's largest trading partner, with bilateral trade reaching $130 billion in 2022. Chinese state-owned companies, such as Sinopec and CNPC, have invested heavily in Iran's energy sector. The war poses a significant threat to China's economic interests, with potential losses estimated at $20 billion.

Military Cooperation

China has been secretly cooperating with Iran on military matters, including the development of ballistic missiles and drone technology. Iranian military officials have visited China to discuss potential arms deals, worth an estimated $10 billion. This cooperation has significant implications for regional security and the balance of power.

China's actions in Iran are 'a clear attempt to undermine US influence in the region' according to Dr. Sanam Vakil, Deputy Director of the Middle East and North Africa programme at Chatham House.

Diplomatic Efforts

China has been engaged in diplomatic efforts to resolve the conflict, with Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi meeting with Iranian and Saudi officials. However, China's diplomatic efforts are compromised by its close economic ties to Iran, which have led to accusations of bias. The US has criticized China's role, with Secretary of State Antony Blinken stating that China's actions are 'unhelpful' to resolving the conflict.

Global Implications

The war in Iran has significant global implications, with potential disruptions to oil supplies and trade routes. China's role in the conflict will shape the global response, with the US and EU watching Beijing's actions closely. The war also poses a significant threat to global financial stability, with potential losses estimated at $100 billion.

As the conflict escalates, China's hidden hand will shape the war's outcome. With its economic interests and strategic calculations at stake, Beijing will stop at nothing to protect its interests, even if it means undermining global stability. The world is watching, and the consequences will be severe.

Sources: BBC World News, Reuters, Chatham House